The counter slowly rebounded from its three years low ~ 1.9 last
week. Downtrend could have paused here. Shall it continue to range
bounce, 2.1 could be its immediate resistance. Current price might be
good entry. Shall 1.9 be broken with strong volume, downtrend would
resume.
Saturday, December 30, 2017
Friday, December 29, 2017
Dec[11] - Cash is King
The following counters were shortlisted for its strong cash /
cashflow position. Price has been easing recently which might translates
to buying opportunity.
Dec[10] - Market Updates
Singapore:
STI completed FY2017 with outstanding gain of 17%. However, trend looks stagnant from mid Oct till now. It has been range bouncing between 3341 to 3468. 10 years peak 3550 could be visible target in FY2018. Investors shall take opportunity to reshuffle its portfolio. Debt affordability might be issue to company while we are entering high interest rate (tightening monetary policy) cycle.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
STI completed FY2017 with outstanding gain of 17%. However, trend looks stagnant from mid Oct till now. It has been range bouncing between 3341 to 3468. 10 years peak 3550 could be visible target in FY2018. Investors shall take opportunity to reshuffle its portfolio. Debt affordability might be issue to company while we are entering high interest rate (tightening monetary policy) cycle.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
Sunday, December 24, 2017
Chart[72] - Japfa
The counter saw price rebounding with significant volume on last
trading day. On daily chart below, it has broken resistance 0.49, and
next resistance is around 0.525. Looking into weekly chart, it is
potentially taking u-turn from recent downfall. Strong resistance is
0.6. Volume on subsequent days will be critical.
Dec[9] - Property Developer Review (Large Cap)
Among top 6 market capitalization of property developer listed in
SGX, the following counters were shortlisted because they have high
exposure to local property market. In term of valuation, they are still
trading below respective book value. The counters are Capitaland (CAP),
Frasers Centerpoint Limited(FCL) and UOL
Friday, December 22, 2017
Dec[8] - Market Updates
Crude Oil:
Oil Price has been enjoying in bullish run since last June. It is supported by extended production from OPEC and non OPEC but capped by potential rising in Shale Oil production activity. Resistance ~ USD60 and support ~ USD55. Such a range bounce movement might inject confidence among oil counters investor.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
Oil Price has been enjoying in bullish run since last June. It is supported by extended production from OPEC and non OPEC but capped by potential rising in Shale Oil production activity. Resistance ~ USD60 and support ~ USD55. Such a range bounce movement might inject confidence among oil counters investor.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
Friday, December 15, 2017
Chart[71] - Keppel T&T
The counter saw strong buying volume on late Nov. Price retreated
with thin volume afterwards. 1.55 is holding firm as support meanwhile.
Shall buying ramp up again, it could test 1.64, follow by 1.71. A higher
high formation might be forming. However, trend might look downwards if
support 1.55 is broken.
Dec[7] - REITs Review
Following last week FOMC meeting, monetary policy will be further
tightened on next year. As a dividend instrument, REIT performance might
be sensitive to interest rate. Therefore we review a few local REIT
counters as below from respective financial condition as well as
business prospect. Yellow color highlights counters with dividend yield
out-performing its peers. Pink color highlights decrease in earning and
rising debt gearing.
Dec[6] - Market Updates
Fed Fund Rate vs DOW Jones:
On last FOMC meeting of 2017, US interest rate was raised to 1.25 ~ 1.5%., with three more hikes were expected for next year. The monetary policy has been loosening since 2009 (global market collapsed). Next year, interest rate could finally back to it's level which was last seen on 2008. Bond buying will shrink US$20b/month (from US$10b/month) from Jan as well.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
On last FOMC meeting of 2017, US interest rate was raised to 1.25 ~ 1.5%., with three more hikes were expected for next year. The monetary policy has been loosening since 2009 (global market collapsed). Next year, interest rate could finally back to it's level which was last seen on 2008. Bond buying will shrink US$20b/month (from US$10b/month) from Jan as well.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
Friday, December 8, 2017
Chart[70] - Golden Energy
The counter saw strong buying volume on last trading day. Price
rebounded from one month downfall. 0.365 proved to be strong support.
Shall buying interest continue, next resistance could be 0.42 followed
by 0.475.
Dec[5] - Book Value Hunting
The following counters share similar characteristics: low debt or
even net cash position yet share price under its net asset value (book
value). Its business condition and outlook were shared below.
Dec[4] - Market Update
Singapore:
STI has been edging downwards since last Monday, but managed to bounced up on last trading day. Coming to last month of 2017 with holiday seasons around the corner, it could be a quiet month ahead. Outperforming trade data from China and tightening labour market result from US boasted market confidence meanwhile. Last FOMC meeting from Yellen falls on next week. Latest decision on its monetary policy could be last decisive factor to market for the year. 3341 seems to be strong support for STI, while it is try to test resistance ~ 3450.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
STI has been edging downwards since last Monday, but managed to bounced up on last trading day. Coming to last month of 2017 with holiday seasons around the corner, it could be a quiet month ahead. Outperforming trade data from China and tightening labour market result from US boasted market confidence meanwhile. Last FOMC meeting from Yellen falls on next week. Latest decision on its monetary policy could be last decisive factor to market for the year. 3341 seems to be strong support for STI, while it is try to test resistance ~ 3450.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
Friday, December 1, 2017
Chart[69] - ThaiBev
The
counter has been riding on bullish trend since early October. It failed
to break up from 0.98 twice. Recent retreat could be last entry chance
for a triple top break up. Looking past two months, it has been forming
higher low pattern, so could look forward more upside. Shall price break
down from 0.94, uptrend could reverse.
Dec[3] - Laggards Play - Yield chart
Dec[2] - Laggards Play - Busines Operation
The following counters were shortlisted from STI constituents.
Different from other constituents, their price movement have been
deviating from recent STI rally. Thus they could be taking driver seats
shall STI rally to continue, or enter correction phase. SingTel and
Wilmar belongs to retail and consumption sector. SIA Eng and ST Eng
offers attractive dividend yield. Sembco Ind could be a laggard
performer among oil price recovery. It's trading under heavily discount
from book value.
Dec[1] - Market Updates
Singapore:
STI's 10 years peak ~ 3550 is not longer far away based on recent bull charging. Looking backwards, such rally didn't go through much consolidation. The vulnerability to market uncertainty could be rising. Investor shall begin deleveraging (taking profit) from portfolio in such euphoria condition.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
STI's 10 years peak ~ 3550 is not longer far away based on recent bull charging. Looking backwards, such rally didn't go through much consolidation. The vulnerability to market uncertainty could be rising. Investor shall begin deleveraging (taking profit) from portfolio in such euphoria condition.
Market Calendar on coming week:
(SG: Singapore; CH: China; US: USA).
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