Friday, December 9, 2016

Dec[3] - Cogent (Momentum is still on)

COUNTER: FIRST REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST

OVERVIEW:

Started as business providing point-to-point cargo transportation with small flee of trucks in 1960s. The company has grown into Singapore's leading logistics management service provider with broad based clientele from large local to multi-national companies. Now it operates management services in six business segments: Transportation, warehouse, container depot, automotive logistics, project cargo and property. Cogent One-Stop Logistics Hub is located at 1 Buroh Crescent, which is strategically located along Jalan Buroh and surrounded by major logistics facilities.

HIGHLIGHTS:
[1] Latest result saw its last 9 month revenue and profit up 5% and 30% year on year. The improvement was due to steady growing revenue across most business segments as well as effective cost management.

[2] For its operation in Malaysia, phase 1 construction of its first warehouse and container depot facilities in Port Klang Free Zone was completed on end of 2015. Operations have commenced on early 2016. Phase 2 (expansion of facility) has kicked off on mid 2016.

[3] Total debt/equity ~ 100% (fully secured), Interest coverage > 10.

INVESTMENT THEMES:
[1] JTC has issued letter of offer for construction of the Jurong Island Chemical Logistics Facility with 3.5 hectares. The land has been handed over to the company last October. It will develop, own and operate a multi-purpose logistics hub to support manufacturing operations on Jurong Island.

[2] The company has its cutting edge on logistics operation in highly land-productive and cost-effective manner. Its facility has been patented in numerous countries, including US, Europe, China, HK, Japan, etc. Management believe it will serve as springboard for future expansion in overseas that value land productivity.

[3] 9 month earning per shares (EPS) - 0.05 || Dividend per shares ~ 0.0188
Trading around 0.64, its forward PE is ~ 10 and dividend yield ~ 2.8% which is undemanding, considering its excellent earning record and visible growth in future. Dividend yield is usually low for company in growing momentum as cash need to be preserved.

PRICE TREND:
Looking backwards to 2014, the counter ever shot up in price while it announced profit improvement as well as completion of new logistics hub. Price rose to 0.48 then stabilized at 0.3. As its business prospect is getting much recognition from market, price slowly edging upwards on following years. Similar surge was seen on last July with announcement of second logistics hub. Price correction occurred since October. It gained support ~ 0.62 which translates to forward PE ~ 10. In term of valuation, it is similar scenario to 2014. Current correction presents entry window for long term investors.


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